Case Study: 26-27 December 2010 Blizzard
Animations courtesy of National Weather Service New York
Low Tracks
Observed Low Tracks vs Forecast Low Tracks Ensemble Low Tracks -ECENS (yellow), GEFS (red), CMCE (blue), SREF (green), and other operational models
GFS and SREF Low Tracks
Sensitivity
SREF Sensitivity and Predictability
Sensitivity Calculations by Yucheng Song
Edmund Chang's Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis
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Model Differences
SREF & GEFS 24 Precip Probabilities > 25.4 mm
Nam vs GFS QPF Comparison Incl. Experimental Nam
ECMWF MSLP Spread Plots
SREF Snowfall Probabilities
00z 24 Dec and 12z 24 Dec GFS Height Differences and Errors
Ensemble Forecasts and Accumulated Precipitation
HPC vs SREF Snowfall Probabilites
24 Dec 09z SREF Members |
ECMWF vs GFS
500 mb Trough Adjustment Dec. 23 & 24
300 mb Height, 500 mb Height, 700 mb Height, and SLP Comparison from 24 Dec 2010 12z runs
300 mb, 500 mb, 700 mb, and 850 mb Height, Temp, and Winds Comparison from 24 Dec 2010 12z runs
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Miscellaneous Links
Go-To-Meeting 01-13-11: Blizzard Summary PPT
Go-To-Meeting 01-13-11: Blizzard Summary Recording
PV Evolution
Event Summary by Richard Grumm
Richard Grumm Case Study Site
KOKX Event Summary
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